Hindsight Bias and Outcome Bias gone Nuclear
Posted: Thu Jun 27, 2019 8:31 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1xQeXOz0Ncs
I was interested in this video because I'm gearing up to watch the TV series on Chernobyl on HBO. I've always been interested in nuclear power plants. I remember very distinctly the 3 mile island accident in the 70's with Jimmy Carter visiting the plant. If you don't want to sit through all the explanations of the basic of how the power plant works you can skip the the part about hindsight bias, but I think the lead up is important.
So what does this have to do with TSCC or faith crisis, etc.? I think it's been easy for me, as someone who escaped it, to have too much bias toward TBMs. But I can never have enough bias toward TSCC! So maybe TBMs are seeing temperatures above 200F in the pilot relief valve, it's only because they were conditioned to think that's okay and TSCC wired up the light to always be green, no matter what the state of the valve is. Also TSCC always keep several warning lights blinking and sound loud alarms, even during normal operating conditions.
I was interested in this video because I'm gearing up to watch the TV series on Chernobyl on HBO. I've always been interested in nuclear power plants. I remember very distinctly the 3 mile island accident in the 70's with Jimmy Carter visiting the plant. If you don't want to sit through all the explanations of the basic of how the power plant works you can skip the the part about hindsight bias, but I think the lead up is important.
So what does this have to do with TSCC or faith crisis, etc.? I think it's been easy for me, as someone who escaped it, to have too much bias toward TBMs. But I can never have enough bias toward TSCC! So maybe TBMs are seeing temperatures above 200F in the pilot relief valve, it's only because they were conditioned to think that's okay and TSCC wired up the light to always be green, no matter what the state of the valve is. Also TSCC always keep several warning lights blinking and sound loud alarms, even during normal operating conditions.